MAKE REGIME CHANGE GREAT AGAIN!
I am genuinely struck by the current turn of events; it appears regime change has returned to the forefront of American foreign policy. These developments evoke powerful flashbacks to 2003, when I worked closely with American military colleagues during the invasion of Iraq.
History shows that the United States has often successfully executed such operations within its own hemisphere—Grenada and Panama come to mind. However, projecting that same power elsewhere has proven far more arduous, with Iraq and Afghanistan remaining as stark reminders of the complexities involved.
Yet, knowing what I do about the U.S. Special Forces, the intelligence community, and the sheer scale of the American military-industrial complex, the current operation is nothing short of a masterclass. With reports of only a single wounded service member while Maduro’s loyalists face a grim fate, the precision is startling.
The Trump administration has consistently defied global expectations — first with the strike on Soleimani, then Operation Midnight Hammer, and now this. The true essence of American hegemony lies in the ability to synchronize every lever of power—economic, military, and diplomatic—at the exact same moment. Meanwhile, the EU, despite its collective strength, remains in a state of absolutely miserable disarray regarding the projection of power.
Admittedly, the historical track record of this "gunboat diplomacy" is checkered. That is not to say, however, that the Americans cannot succeed within their own sphere of influence. The world is watching closely. While I am generally cautious about taking President Trump at his word, I do hope his commitment to supporting the Iranian people holds true, should their peaceful revolution continue to gain even more momentum.
News of this magnitude provides a temporary surge of dopamine for an "old war horse" like me. But that high is fleeting, quickly replaced by the mundane grind of daily business. Despite two decades of forecasting geopolitical shifts, the future remains opaque. Predicting these movements takes its toll, but geopolitics is, after all, a serious addiction. One remains mostly caught behind the curve in big moments and just observes things taking place with awe.
