Regime Still There, but Change Depends on Iranians


At this moment, the situation is widely seen as a critical window. If the Iranian public wants real change, it requires citizens to take an active role and put their own “skin in the game” through widespread civic pressure and participation.

In the best of cases likely outcome is civil war, even after regime collapses. So we should brace ourselves for long and dirty process to Make Iran Great Again.

Recent intelligence assessments from the United States Intelligence Community indicate that Iran’s ruling system is not currently in danger of collapsing, despite military pressure and regional tensions. Analysts say the government in Tehran continues to maintain control over the country’s institutions and security forces.

Anything can always happen in these turning points of history but still... Hope regime already collapsed yesterday.

However, the reports emphasize an important point: external pressure alone is unlikely to bring down the regime. While international actions may weaken the government, meaningful political change ultimately depends on the people inside Iran. As long as regime can deny other governance options, despite being as bad and North Korean as humanly possible, they will schlep on.

In short, outside forces can influence events, but the decisive factor remains the actions of Iranians themselves.

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